RiskReversal Recap: April 16, 2024

Yields Spike After Powell Signals Rates will be Higher for Longer

Today’s MRKT Call is Presented by Fidelity

Chart Check on the S&P 500 with Carter Braxton Worth

Dan Nathan and Carter Worth break down the top market headlines and bring you stock market trade ideas for Tuesday, April 16th.

Click here to access the charts mentioned in today’s MRKT Call.

American Express (AXP) Trade Breakdown & Rationale

Bearish Take on American Express

AXP is at a Crucial Technical Level

Short-Dated Options Premiums are High

Bearish AXP Trade Idea ~$217

Buy June 220/180 Put Spread for ~$10

  • Buy to open 1 June 220 put for ~11

  • Sell to open 1 June 180 put at ~1

Break-even on June expiration

  • Profits of up to 30 between 210 and 180

  • Losses up to 10 between 210 and 220 with a max loss of 10 above 220

Trade Rationale and Management

  • This trade idea risks ~4.5% of the stock price, is already $3 or ~1% in the money, and has a break-even down of ~3.5%. The risk-reward is 3 to 1.

  • As always, with long premium directional trades, I will cut my losses if the position is worth 50% of the premium I originally paid and take half off if it doubles.

Trade Updates:

S&P 500 ETF (SPY) Trade Update: Close Half or Roll

Silver ETF (SLV) Trade Update: Take Profits

Utilities (XLU) Trade Update: Sell to Close

Topic Timecodes:
S&P 500 Technicals (0:00), JNJ & AXP Trade Idea (13:00), SLV Update (26:45), Yields (30:30), XLU Update (36:00) 

Sign up below to receive daily MRKT Call reminders and early access to the charts featured in the show.

WHAT WE’RE READING

  • Fed Chair Powell Says There Has Been a ‘Lack of Further Progress’ This Year on Inflation (CNBC)

  • US Yields Spike as Hawkish Powell Puts 5% in Play (Bloomberg)

  • Regional Banks Will Dominate Rest of Earnings Season This Week. Here’s What Analysts Expect (CNBC)

  • Investment Banking Bounceback Powers Big U.S. Lenders (WSJ)

  • UnitedHealth Stock Soars After Earnings Beat Expectations, Despite Cyberattack (WSJ)

Subscribe to the RiskReversal YouTube Channel and drop a comment/like to show your support

Want to check out past episodes? Search for “On The Tape,” “MRKT Call,” or “Okay, Computer.” wherever you listen to podcasts

We want to hear your feedback! Reply to this email with any comments or questions