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- RiskReversal Recap: April 16, 2024
RiskReversal Recap: April 16, 2024
Yields Spike After Powell Signals Rates will be Higher for Longer
Today’s MRKT Call is Presented by Fidelity
Chart Check on the S&P 500 with Carter Braxton Worth
Dan Nathan and Carter Worth break down the top market headlines and bring you stock market trade ideas for Tuesday, April 16th.
Click here to access the charts mentioned in today’s MRKT Call.
American Express (AXP) Trade Breakdown & Rationale
Bearish Take on American Express
AXP is at a Crucial Technical Level
Short-Dated Options Premiums are High
Bearish AXP Trade Idea ~$217
Buy June 220/180 Put Spread for ~$10
Buy to open 1 June 220 put for ~11
Sell to open 1 June 180 put at ~1
Break-even on June expiration
Profits of up to 30 between 210 and 180
Losses up to 10 between 210 and 220 with a max loss of 10 above 220
Trade Rationale and Management
This trade idea risks ~4.5% of the stock price, is already $3 or ~1% in the money, and has a break-even down of ~3.5%. The risk-reward is 3 to 1.
As always, with long premium directional trades, I will cut my losses if the position is worth 50% of the premium I originally paid and take half off if it doubles.
Trade Updates:
S&P 500 ETF (SPY) Trade Update: Close Half or Roll
Silver ETF (SLV) Trade Update: Take Profits
Utilities (XLU) Trade Update: Sell to Close
Topic Timecodes:
S&P 500 Technicals (0:00), JNJ & AXP Trade Idea (13:00), SLV Update (26:45), Yields (30:30), XLU Update (36:00)
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WHAT WE’RE READING
Fed Chair Powell Says There Has Been a ‘Lack of Further Progress’ This Year on Inflation (CNBC)
US Yields Spike as Hawkish Powell Puts 5% in Play (Bloomberg)
Regional Banks Will Dominate Rest of Earnings Season This Week. Here’s What Analysts Expect (CNBC)
Investment Banking Bounceback Powers Big U.S. Lenders (WSJ)
UnitedHealth Stock Soars After Earnings Beat Expectations, Despite Cyberattack (WSJ)
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